UPDATE MON 7:15 PM EST
Week 9 Record: 7-3-0 (3 Exact Wins)
Bet of the Week Record: 0-1-0
Season Record: 16-12-2
Season Bet of the Week Record: 0-2-1
West Ham vs. Manchester City
Prediction: 1-3
Analysis: Despite West Ham sitting in 4th place in the table, despite West Ham being at home, despite West Ham's 3-1 over Burnley and 2-0 win over QPR, I just don't think they have a chance against Man City. Man City is too powerful of a team for anyone in the league to compete against them besides Chelsea (And even Chelsea only came away with a draw against them). So yes, I think Man City has no problem winning this game and I'm going with a 3-1 win and taking Man City -1.
Pick: Manchester City -1; -119
Final Outcome: 2-1. LOSS.
Sunderland vs. Arsenal
Prediction: 0-2
Analysis: Sunderland sucks. That's really all there is to say for this game. I don't care who you are because when you lose a game 8-0, you suck. Even QPR hasn't stooped to that level yet. Plus, not only is Sunderland coming off that 8-0 loss to Southampton, they get to play one of the better teams in the league. Arsenal to win 2-0 and I'm taking the money line here.
Pick: Arsenal ML; -130
Final Outcome: 0-2. EXACT WIN.
Southampton vs. Stoke City
Prediction: 2-1
Analysis: Southampton is still surprisingly one of the better teams in the Premier League this year. Like I just said for the Sunderland and Arsenal game, Southampton is coming off an 8-0 win over Sunderland, so I believe the momentum will give them the win here. Obviously not 8-0, especially when they're playing a team Stoke that never gives up too many goals. 2-1 win for Southampton and I'm taking the money line.
Pick: Southampton ML; -167
Final Outcome: 1-0. WIN.
West Brom vs. Crystal Palace
Prediction: 2-2
Analysis: Ew. Who wants to even watch this game...I know I won't be. I didn't pick a draw at all this week so here is my token draw game. 2-2 and I'll even take the draw for my pick.
Pick: Draw; +225
Final Outcome: 2-2. EXACT WIN.
Liverpool vs. Hull City
Prediction: 2-1
Analysis: This seems like a trap game for Liverpool. Although every time top team plays Hull it's a trap game according to the media and public. The difference is Liverpool isn't a top team and that was proven in last week's game against QPR. Liverpool won 3-2 on two own goals by QPR and a lot of ball watching by the back line. If you actually watched the game, you would've seen QPR dominate the first half and get incredibly unlucky all game. I really want to pick Hull to draw or even win, but with the game at Anfield, I have to take Liverpool. I'm going with a 2-1 win for the Reds, but there's absolutely no way Liverpool wins by more than 1, so I'm taking Hull +1, + 1 1/2.
Pick: Hull City +1, +1 1/2; -110
Final Outcome: 0-0. WIN.
Swansea City vs. Leicester City
Prediction: 2-1
Analysis: Swansea has definitely slowed down after their monstrous start to the season, losing to Stoke, Southampton, and Chelsea and coming away with draws against Newcastle and Sunderland, over their past five games. Things aren't looking very great for the Jacks but they're at home for this game and are playing a struggling Leicester team. Leicester also had a nice start to the season after being promoted but, just like I said in a past podcast (or somewhere, I just know I said it lol), they're falling back down to where they'll have to battle to stay in the league. Over the past three games, Leicester has lost to Newcastle and Crystal Palace, and came away with a 2-2 draw against a Burnley team who only scored one goal before that game. So this game is like the opening set for Second in Command (Hah, Lucio will appreciate the forever lasting 2IC references). I'm going with a 2-1 win for Swansea since they're still the better team and are playing at home. I'm also taking Swansea -1/2 for the game.
Pick: Swansea City -1/2; -114
Final Outcome: 2-0. WIN.
Burnley vs. Everton
Prediction: 0-2
Analysis: Burnley sucks too. If I had to re-pick my three teams to be relegated, I'm going with Burnley, Sunderland, and Leicester (QPR barely scrapes away in 17th place lol). Everton is FINALLY playing like the team they should be and the return of Ross Barkley is definitely helping them. Burnley has no chance to win this game in my opinion and I'm taking a 2-0 win for Everton. Everton -1/2 is really great value too at +107.
Pick: Everton -1/2, -1; +107
Final Outcome: 1-3. WIN.
Tottenham vs. Newcastle
Prediction: 1-0
Analysis: Newcastle got a much needed win against Leicester City and Alan Pardew has saved his job for now with the win and after the draw against Swansea the previous week. But will they beat Tottenham at White Hart Lane? Probably not, and no one should be expecting them to so Pardew will be okay after this game as well. Still, Tottenham hasn't been very good lately so it should stay close. Going with a 1-0 win for Spurs here and taking the Spurs money line as well.
Pick: Tottenham ML; -130
Final Outcome: 1-2. LOSS.
Manchester United vs. Chelsea
Prediction: 1-4
Analysis: Does anyone really think Man U has a chance to win this game? I don't really understand where the oddsmakers stand with this game, so it easily becomes my Bet of the Week with the value here. Chelsea is too good and I don't care if this game is at Old Trafford, because there's absolutely no way that Man U back line will be able to stop Chelsea. 4-1 victory for Chelsea and I'm going with the Chelsea ML at +145 (Seriously, +145!?!?!!?!?).
Bet of the Week: Chelsea ML; +145
Final Outcome: 1-1. LOSS.
Queens Park Rangers vs. Aston Villa
Prediction: 2-0
Analysis: Oh, my beloved QPR. According to the media, the QPR and Liverpool game was apparently a great game for a neutral fan. Not so much for your favorite EPL author.... That game was torture for me because I couldn't even stay happy with any of the QPR positives for more than a minute. But despite the agonizing game that it was, I was very pleased with the Hoops performance. They finally have a competent left back with Suk-Young and players like Onuoha, Henry, and Zamora are playing very well. Heck, the team as a whole was great on Saturday. You can never complain about my boy Charlie, Zamora was amazing, Fer keeps getting better and hit the crossbar twice (UGH), Sandro was great, Henry is playing better than anyone expected, Isla is a nice addition, Caulker and Dunne are solid, and you can't complain at all about the subs of Traore, Phillips and Vargas (especially not Vargas with his two great goals). Yes the back line was ball watching at times, but that's what happens when they haven't been playing together all season (and those two own goals were very, very unlucky). It should get better as this squad should be sticking together now. QPR is sitting in last place with 4 points, but I'm still really optimistic about the rest of the season. Plus, when Barton and Mutch are ready to play, this is actually a really good squad. Only management can screw this up now in my opinion. The team should be happy about the Liverpool game and now they get to play one of the struggling teams in the league, Aston Villa. Villa has only scored 4 goals all season, so that should help the newly formed QPR back line. I'm going with a 2-0 win here for the Hoops so I can be happy all week. Also taking QPR pk, -1/2.
Pick: QPR pk, -1/2; -104
Final Outcome: 2-0. EXACT WIN.
Table Prediction After Week 9:
1) Chelsea - 25 points
2) Manchester City - 20 points
3) Southampton - 19 points
4) Liverpool - 16 points
5) Arsenal - 14 points
6) Swansea City - 14 points
7) Tottenham - 14 points
8) West Ham - 13 points
9) Everton - 12 points
10) Manchester United - 12 points
11) Stoke City - 11 points
12) Hull City - 10 points
13) West Brom - 10 points
14) Aston Villa - 10 points
15) Crystal Palace - 9 points
16) Leicester City - 9 points
17) Sunderland - 8 points
18) Newcastle - 7 points
19) QPR - 7 points
20) Burnley - 7 points
Bet of the Week Record: 0-1-0
Season Record: 16-12-2
Season Bet of the Week Record: 0-2-1
West Ham vs. Manchester City
Prediction: 1-3
Analysis: Despite West Ham sitting in 4th place in the table, despite West Ham being at home, despite West Ham's 3-1 over Burnley and 2-0 win over QPR, I just don't think they have a chance against Man City. Man City is too powerful of a team for anyone in the league to compete against them besides Chelsea (And even Chelsea only came away with a draw against them). So yes, I think Man City has no problem winning this game and I'm going with a 3-1 win and taking Man City -1.
Pick: Manchester City -1; -119
Final Outcome: 2-1. LOSS.
Sunderland vs. Arsenal
Prediction: 0-2
Analysis: Sunderland sucks. That's really all there is to say for this game. I don't care who you are because when you lose a game 8-0, you suck. Even QPR hasn't stooped to that level yet. Plus, not only is Sunderland coming off that 8-0 loss to Southampton, they get to play one of the better teams in the league. Arsenal to win 2-0 and I'm taking the money line here.
Pick: Arsenal ML; -130
Final Outcome: 0-2. EXACT WIN.
Southampton vs. Stoke City
Prediction: 2-1
Analysis: Southampton is still surprisingly one of the better teams in the Premier League this year. Like I just said for the Sunderland and Arsenal game, Southampton is coming off an 8-0 win over Sunderland, so I believe the momentum will give them the win here. Obviously not 8-0, especially when they're playing a team Stoke that never gives up too many goals. 2-1 win for Southampton and I'm taking the money line.
Pick: Southampton ML; -167
Final Outcome: 1-0. WIN.
West Brom vs. Crystal Palace
Prediction: 2-2
Analysis: Ew. Who wants to even watch this game...I know I won't be. I didn't pick a draw at all this week so here is my token draw game. 2-2 and I'll even take the draw for my pick.
Pick: Draw; +225
Final Outcome: 2-2. EXACT WIN.
Liverpool vs. Hull City
Prediction: 2-1
Analysis: This seems like a trap game for Liverpool. Although every time top team plays Hull it's a trap game according to the media and public. The difference is Liverpool isn't a top team and that was proven in last week's game against QPR. Liverpool won 3-2 on two own goals by QPR and a lot of ball watching by the back line. If you actually watched the game, you would've seen QPR dominate the first half and get incredibly unlucky all game. I really want to pick Hull to draw or even win, but with the game at Anfield, I have to take Liverpool. I'm going with a 2-1 win for the Reds, but there's absolutely no way Liverpool wins by more than 1, so I'm taking Hull +1, + 1 1/2.
Pick: Hull City +1, +1 1/2; -110
Final Outcome: 0-0. WIN.
Swansea City vs. Leicester City
Prediction: 2-1
Analysis: Swansea has definitely slowed down after their monstrous start to the season, losing to Stoke, Southampton, and Chelsea and coming away with draws against Newcastle and Sunderland, over their past five games. Things aren't looking very great for the Jacks but they're at home for this game and are playing a struggling Leicester team. Leicester also had a nice start to the season after being promoted but, just like I said in a past podcast (or somewhere, I just know I said it lol), they're falling back down to where they'll have to battle to stay in the league. Over the past three games, Leicester has lost to Newcastle and Crystal Palace, and came away with a 2-2 draw against a Burnley team who only scored one goal before that game. So this game is like the opening set for Second in Command (Hah, Lucio will appreciate the forever lasting 2IC references). I'm going with a 2-1 win for Swansea since they're still the better team and are playing at home. I'm also taking Swansea -1/2 for the game.
Pick: Swansea City -1/2; -114
Final Outcome: 2-0. WIN.
Burnley vs. Everton
Prediction: 0-2
Analysis: Burnley sucks too. If I had to re-pick my three teams to be relegated, I'm going with Burnley, Sunderland, and Leicester (QPR barely scrapes away in 17th place lol). Everton is FINALLY playing like the team they should be and the return of Ross Barkley is definitely helping them. Burnley has no chance to win this game in my opinion and I'm taking a 2-0 win for Everton. Everton -1/2 is really great value too at +107.
Pick: Everton -1/2, -1; +107
Final Outcome: 1-3. WIN.
Tottenham vs. Newcastle
Prediction: 1-0
Analysis: Newcastle got a much needed win against Leicester City and Alan Pardew has saved his job for now with the win and after the draw against Swansea the previous week. But will they beat Tottenham at White Hart Lane? Probably not, and no one should be expecting them to so Pardew will be okay after this game as well. Still, Tottenham hasn't been very good lately so it should stay close. Going with a 1-0 win for Spurs here and taking the Spurs money line as well.
Pick: Tottenham ML; -130
Final Outcome: 1-2. LOSS.
 |
| Bet of the Week: Chelsea ML; +145 |
Prediction: 1-4
Analysis: Does anyone really think Man U has a chance to win this game? I don't really understand where the oddsmakers stand with this game, so it easily becomes my Bet of the Week with the value here. Chelsea is too good and I don't care if this game is at Old Trafford, because there's absolutely no way that Man U back line will be able to stop Chelsea. 4-1 victory for Chelsea and I'm going with the Chelsea ML at +145 (Seriously, +145!?!?!!?!?).
Bet of the Week: Chelsea ML; +145
Final Outcome: 1-1. LOSS.
Queens Park Rangers vs. Aston Villa
Prediction: 2-0
Analysis: Oh, my beloved QPR. According to the media, the QPR and Liverpool game was apparently a great game for a neutral fan. Not so much for your favorite EPL author.... That game was torture for me because I couldn't even stay happy with any of the QPR positives for more than a minute. But despite the agonizing game that it was, I was very pleased with the Hoops performance. They finally have a competent left back with Suk-Young and players like Onuoha, Henry, and Zamora are playing very well. Heck, the team as a whole was great on Saturday. You can never complain about my boy Charlie, Zamora was amazing, Fer keeps getting better and hit the crossbar twice (UGH), Sandro was great, Henry is playing better than anyone expected, Isla is a nice addition, Caulker and Dunne are solid, and you can't complain at all about the subs of Traore, Phillips and Vargas (especially not Vargas with his two great goals). Yes the back line was ball watching at times, but that's what happens when they haven't been playing together all season (and those two own goals were very, very unlucky). It should get better as this squad should be sticking together now. QPR is sitting in last place with 4 points, but I'm still really optimistic about the rest of the season. Plus, when Barton and Mutch are ready to play, this is actually a really good squad. Only management can screw this up now in my opinion. The team should be happy about the Liverpool game and now they get to play one of the struggling teams in the league, Aston Villa. Villa has only scored 4 goals all season, so that should help the newly formed QPR back line. I'm going with a 2-0 win here for the Hoops so I can be happy all week. Also taking QPR pk, -1/2.
Pick: QPR pk, -1/2; -104
Final Outcome: 2-0. EXACT WIN.
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| "Everton is FINALLY playing like the team they should be" |
1) Chelsea - 25 points
2) Manchester City - 20 points
3) Southampton - 19 points
4) Liverpool - 16 points
5) Arsenal - 14 points
6) Swansea City - 14 points
7) Tottenham - 14 points
8) West Ham - 13 points
9) Everton - 12 points
10) Manchester United - 12 points
11) Stoke City - 11 points
12) Hull City - 10 points
13) West Brom - 10 points
14) Aston Villa - 10 points
15) Crystal Palace - 9 points
16) Leicester City - 9 points
17) Sunderland - 8 points
18) Newcastle - 7 points
19) QPR - 7 points
20) Burnley - 7 points
The writers of Three By Five Sports Network assume no responsibility for the losses of anyone who risks money on this analysis. This is for educational and reading purposes only.
About the Author
Co-creator and co-editor-in-chief of Three By Five Sports Network
Co-host of the Third and Long Podcast
Co-host of the Footballistically Speaking Podcast
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